Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.602058 3.830022 4.074581 4.358178 4.680235 5.037362 5.467275
2025-03-16 3.154103 3.440046 3.762096 4.156721 4.634598 5.204913 5.954101
2025-03-23 2.907816 3.240886 3.632255 4.136554 4.786170 5.622024 6.831531
2025-03-30 2.686888 3.047007 3.485039 4.074070 4.875758 5.983402 7.753572
2025-04-06 2.484557 2.856335 3.321240 3.968889 4.893253 6.256155 8.659381
2025-04-13 2.293560 2.663853 3.136709 3.813780 4.817821 6.381786 9.398455
2025-04-20 2.199929 2.588248 3.097563 3.853565 5.034472 7.024622 11.445271
2025-04-27 2.122210 2.526864 3.071128 3.907684 5.284894 7.811573 14.481543
2025-05-04 2.070132 2.495328 3.082393 4.019123 5.654779 8.979552 20.208411
2025-05-11 2.001828 2.436100 3.048155 4.054701 5.901706 10.023514 28.388759
2025-05-18 1.925376 2.360138 2.982651 4.031003 6.034145 10.884144 40.256359
2025-05-25 1.832515 2.255389 2.866264 3.908985 5.948881 11.141258 50.949337
2025-06-01 1.757009 2.177266 2.793572 3.870371 6.066817 12.207946 100.480130
2025-06-08 1.668403 2.075683 2.678242 3.745695 5.979273 12.616182 207.882188
2025-06-15 1.617034 2.026198 2.641296 3.759113 6.213930 14.473346 NaN
2025-06-22 1.561141 1.966951 2.584615 3.729954 6.346692 16.191411 NaN
2025-06-29 1.501539 1.899146 2.509624 3.658034 6.358952 17.463064 NaN
2025-07-06 1.437363 1.821574 2.414144 3.537238 6.219484 17.808599 NaN
2025-07-13 1.408363 1.796242 2.403261 3.582375 6.548103 21.951914 NaN
2025-07-20 1.383064 1.775183 2.397865 3.638164 6.934759 28.533596 NaN
2025-07-27 1.367021 1.767557 2.414587 3.742779 7.527052 43.592702 NaN
2025-08-03 1.341354 1.743350 2.400653 3.779597 7.921030 66.259522 NaN
2025-08-10 1.309655 1.708042 2.364775 3.763133 8.122425 98.176693 NaN